Breiðablik were Icelandic champions in both 2022 and 2024. Now, as the Championship Round begins, they sit 15 points behind Fram — and they have already lost to them twice this season. Breiðablik haven't won a league game since 27 July, and they travel the short way across the capital to face neighbours who are chasing the leaders and a European place. The pecking order in Reykjavík has flipped, and quickly.
The market
No clean market read was available for this fixture. The call below is built on form and the head-to-head rather than on prices.
Fram come into the split in second, eight points behind Víkingur Reykjavík and one ahead of KR. Their form is an odd mix: two wins, two draws and one heavy defeat in the last five. What stands out is that they have conceded in every one of those games. Thirteen scored, thirteen conceded — Fram live on their attack and leave the defence to fend for itself. A draw away at Víkingur, the league leaders, and the goal glut against Breiðablik tell the story well enough.
On the other side, things are heavier. Breiðablik have lost four of their last five, drawn one, and kept no clean sheet in the run. Fourteen goals conceded in five is a number no side chasing anything can live with, and they were blown away at home by Stjarnan, 0–2. By the available accounts Ólafur Ingi Skúlason is in charge and Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson is captain; confirmed news on injuries and suspensions isn't available this time. The attack still racks up shots in double figures, but they aren't turning into points. That's the heart of it for Breiðablik: plenty of the ball, too little to show for it.
LAST 5 MATCHES
The big question is a simple one: can Breiðablik's defence finally keep a game under control? Fram have scored in every recent outing and found a way past Breiðablik twice this summer, in two seven-goal shootouts. Simon Tibbling runs the play from a deeper position and feeds the front line, where Vuk Óskar Dimitrijević has been among the club's leading scorers. Facing them is a defence that hasn't kept a clean sheet in five and leaks both from open play and from set pieces — on the numbers, at least.
For Breiðablik, it comes down to Höskuldur. The captain is the man the attack turns around, and if they're to stop the bleeding he needs to be sharp and take the chances that come. But to stay in it, they first have to blunt Fram in the opening twenty minutes. Otherwise this goes the only way both of this year's meetings have gone: plenty of goals and an open fight.
HEAD-TO-HEAD
THE PICK
Fram are in better form, sit 15 points higher, and have won both meetings this season while Breiðablik are still searching for a first win since July. When two attacks meet that both score regularly but neither defends, a tight game is hard to picture. Everything points to a third straight shootout between them.
The risk is that Fram's form is deceptively steady: that 2–5 loss to KR shows they can fall apart on a bad day, and if Breiðablik go ahead early, a desperate side might finally land its win. It's also worth remembering that, historically, this rivalry has more often fallen Breiðablik's way. But for the home-win call to miss, Breiðablik have to do two things at once that they've failed at for five games running: defend and win.
There's a strange feeling for Breiðablik in arriving at the split as the chasers. The side that won the title in 2022 and 2024, under former Iceland international Ólafur Ingi Skúlason, has watched Fram pull away all summer long. Few would have predicted this back in spring — and that's exactly why the opening night of the Championship Round in Úlfarsárdalur carries more weight than two dropped points.