Seven goals in KA's last home game. Eight in ÍA's last away game. The two sides arrive here from opposite results — KA off a 3-4 home defeat to Fram, ÍA off a 3-5 loss away at KR — and both have shown lately that keeping a clean sheet is beyond them. On paper this is a lower-half side against a mid-table one. The numbers from their recent matches suggest more than a goal or two finds the net at Greifavöllurinn.
The market
No meaningful prices are out this far ahead of kickoff. The standings, though, point to a fairly even contest: a lower-half home side hosting a team from the middle of the table.
KA sit in the lower half on ten points and come in off two straight defeats, by reported accounts — 3-4 at home to Fram and 1-3 away at Breiðablik. Four conceded against Fram, three against Breiðablik: the story tells itself. The back line has been leaking, and ten points after eleven rounds makes a relegation fight less a distant worry than a live problem for the northern side. In the Besta deild, the bottom two go down.
ÍA are in better shape, sixth on fifteen points, but the picture is mixed. They beat Valur 1-0 at home and showed they can shut a game down when they need to — then shipped five against KR in the next match, even while scoring three of their own. The attack carries a threat; the defence has not been reliable on the road.
Neither side's lineup is settled this far out, and it's worth remembering that several rounds will be played before kickoff — form can shift. One thing is fixed, though: ÍA face a long trip, roughly 300 kilometres north from Akranes on the west coast up to Akureyri, and an evening away game after that journey is rarely an easy night.
RECENT FORM
Fram (H) 3-4 · Breiðablik (A) 1-3
KR (A) 3-5 · Valur (H) 1-0
The key question is a simple one: can KA tighten a defence that has conceded seven in its last two games, or will ÍA's front three find the same gaps they found against KR? Captain Rúnar Már Sigurjónsson, Ísak Máni Guðjónsson and Ómar Björn Stefánsson all got on the scoresheet at KR, and when three men score in the same match, the attack clearly works when the chances come.
KA's first job is to close the middle and stop the ball reaching those three at speed. If they can slow the game and keep it scrappy, this could turn into something very different from what the sides' recent matches suggest. But that takes a defence that hasn't been there lately. ÍA, for their part, simply need to exploit the space KA have been handing opponents — do that, and the night tilts quickly against the hosts.
HEAD-TO-HEAD
22.04.2026 · Besta deild · Akranes · 1-1 2025 · Úrvalsdeild · Akranes · ÍA 3-0 KA
THE PICK
Both teams to score: Yes
Both sides have been leaking goals, and both have shown they can score — the matches either side of this one finished 3-4 and 5-3, and their last meeting ended 1-1. Put two defences in this condition together and the signs point to goals at both ends, while an even read on the two sides makes the draw the most logical outcome.
The risk is that KA, fighting for their lives in the lower half, come out aggressive at home and drag the game down into a defensive scrap — if it goes 1-0 early and the hosts start to control it, the under firms up fast. It's also worth remembering that some of the results this pick rests on come from data providers and aren't confirmed by mainstream outlets, and that form can change in the weeks still to come.
This is a meeting of two of the few champions from outside greater Reykjavík — ÍA, with their long title history on Skaginn at Akranes, and KA from the north. On the home side, keep an eye on Hallgrímur Már Steingrímsson, KA's record appearance-maker and top scorer, who has missed only four league games since the club came up to the top flight in 2017. Kickoff is at 18:00.