Breiðablik haven't lost to Stjarnan since October 2023. The last four meetings have all gone one way, and last year Breiðablik won both league games between them — including a 4-1 on the road in Garðabær. That's the thread tonight: a home side struggling to keep pace with their old neighbours, and visitors who arrive as favourites despite playing away. Stjarnan reached European football last season, but they've opened the summer in the bottom half, five points behind Breiðablik — who also have a game in hand.
The market
Both teams to score: Yes the likelier call
The numbers tell the story of two leaky defences. Stjarnan have conceded 22 goals in ten league games and sit 9th on ten points — one win in their last four, and that came away at bottom side Þór Akureyri. Home form has been worse. Reports suggest Stjarnan have lost their last five league games at Samsung völlurinn, though that isn't independently confirmed. They also come in low after a cup defeat last week to Afturelding, a second-tier side.
Breiðablik are in better shape in the table, 4th on fifteen points, but their back line is anything but tight. Their recent league games have finished 6-3, 3-3 and 3-4 — an attack in full flow and a defence that gives it straight back. A 3-0 cup win over Ægir last weekend steadied them, but the league pattern is goals in both directions. Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson, the captain and the team's main attacking threat, has two league goals so far. So both sides arrive with an attack that creates chances and a defence that lets them in — a recipe that has rarely ended goalless for either this summer.
LAST 6 MATCHES
The key question is whether Stjarnan can hold off the Breiðablik attack — something few have managed this summer. Breiðablik come with Höskuldur leading the line and a side that has scored nineteen in its last six, while shipping fourteen. That's where the chance lies for the hosts: this is not a defence that punishes every misstep, and Stjarnan did score twice in the last meeting between the two, even if it wasn't enough.
If Stjarnan are going to break this run, they have to take the chances they get — because the chances will come. The problem is the other end. A defence that has conceded 22 in ten needs to find a solidity it hasn't shown at home this summer, and if it doesn't, Breiðablik's attack will have the room to settle the game. The signs point to an open match in which both goalkeepers are kept busy.
HEAD-TO-HEAD
26.10.2025 Besta deild Garðabær Stjarnan 2-3 Breiðablik 28.06.2025 Besta deild Garðabær Stjarnan 1-4 Breiðablik 24.04.2025 Besta deild Kópavogur Breiðablik 2-1 Stjarnan 20.10.2024 Besta deild Kópavogur Breiðablik 2-1 Stjarnan 12.08.2024 Besta deild Garðabær Stjarnan 2-2 Breiðablik 22.05.2024 Besta deild Kópavogur Breiðablik 2-1 Stjarnan 08.10.2023 Besta deild Kópavogur Breiðablik 0-2 Stjarnan
THE PICK
Both teams to score: Yes
The pick is a Breiðablik win in a high-scoring game. Everything points that way: the visitors are in better form, higher in the table, and have won every meeting between the two for two years — but not one of their matches this summer has been defensively sound. Stjarnan score enough to stay in games but haven't shown the back line holds at home. So this leans to over 2.5 goals and to both teams finding the net.
The risk is that Stjarnan — a side with a European summer behind them — pull it together at home and close the game down. If they go 1-0 up early and get to sit on the lead, the open picture can shut quickly. And as generous as Breiðablik's defence has been, they're perfectly capable of winning 1-0 if the attack doesn't click. But given how both sides have played this summer, a tight, low-scoring affair is the least likely outcome.
This is a greater-Reykjavík neighbours' meeting with an edge to it: Stjarnan of Garðabær, who finished above Breiðablik and reached Europe last year, now host Kópavogur's two-time recent champions sitting well above them in the table. Five points and a game in hand separate the two — and four straight defeats.